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Crown Green Handicap

Paula Gorman

Team: Cammell LairdDivision: Division ALast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

962

Current Handicap

7
Honours
Season:

81

Matches Played

36

Wins

45

Losses

44%

Win Rate

7.8

Avg Win Margin

6.5

Avg Loss Margin

23-19

Home Record

13-26

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
64 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/6/2026

A large recent sample: 64 matches in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 33-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins36/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 81 matches

+7 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

29 Jun13 Jun22 Aug9 Jul10 Jun5 Aug18 Jun6 Aug-1259

Gives 7 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current7
Win Percentage(35%)
42%
score-0.16→contribution-0.05
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
8.1
score+0.02→contribution+0.00
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.5
score+0.26→contribution+0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
35%
score-0.30→contribution-0.03
Opponent Strength(15%)
970
score-0.19→contribution-0.03
Weighted Score-0.072
Sample Size Confidence
100%(64/33 matches)
Rating971 → shrunk 971→ adjusted 956
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)971
Recency Blend40% (64 recent matches)
Final Rating962
Handicap
7

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

36W45L81 matches·44.4% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Cammell Laird2021–2026Division A, Division B81364544.4%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/6/2026Kevin WalshH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision A
7/30/2026Phil CritchleyH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision A
7/28/2026Nicola EcclesA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision A
7/23/2026Thomas CollierH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision A
7/21/2026John SmithH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision A
7/16/2026Geoff DewhurstH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision A
7/14/2026Kevin WalshA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision A
7/9/2026David Smart *A6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision A
7/2/2026Gary Donaldson *H14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision A
6/30/2026Alan Dunbar *A13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision A
6/23/2026James MotleyA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision A
6/18/2026Andy Eccles *H21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision A
6/16/2026Sam Thompson *A14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision A
6/9/2026Paul WilliamsA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision A
5/21/2026Kevin Howgate *H16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision A
5/19/2026Rob MealorA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision A
5/14/2026John Finch *H2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision A
5/12/2026Stephen GilfoyleA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision A
5/5/2026Jaxon Mcelnay *A21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision A
8/12/2025Brian HanlonA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision A
8/7/2025Graham EllisonA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision A
8/5/2025Mark HadfieldH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision A
7/31/2025Gary DonaldsonH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision A
7/29/2025Phil CritchleyA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision A
7/24/2025David GoreH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision A
7/22/2025Mike LockwoodA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision A
7/15/2025David SmartA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision A
7/10/2025Kevin ExellH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision A
7/9/2025Carl AshworthA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision A
7/3/2025Steve WatsonA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision A
6/24/2025Mick AndrewsH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision A
6/10/2025Colin DraperH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision A
6/3/2025Paul DraperA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision A
5/15/2025Andy SmithH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision A
5/13/2025John SmithH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision A
5/6/2025Tom HowardA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision A
8/13/2024Derek EdwardsA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision B
8/8/2024George McalenyH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision B
8/6/2024Billy CottamH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
7/30/2024Robbie DeanH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision B
7/16/2024June BuckleyA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision B
7/9/2024Chris KissackA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
6/25/2024Brian ShephardH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
6/18/2024Roy BiggsA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision B
6/12/2024vs Arno TixallA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision B
6/4/2024Jaxon McelnayH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision B
5/28/2024Alison BabaH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision B
5/21/2024Ben ScarretH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
5/7/2024George McalenyA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision B
8/31/2023Jaxon McelnayA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision A
8/24/2023Nick WelshH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision A
8/22/2023Alan DunbarA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision A
8/15/2023Geoff DewhurstH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision A
8/10/2023Adam HormbreyH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision A
8/3/2023Mick HindsA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision A
7/25/2023Brian LusseyA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision A
7/20/2023Ian MuskettA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision A
7/13/2023James AthertonA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision A
7/11/2023Andy SewellH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision A
7/6/2023Nick Burridge JrH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision A
7/4/2023Dan JeffriesH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision A
6/22/2023Colin PortisH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision A
6/13/2023Phil CritchleyH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision A
5/25/2023# Mo SavilleH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision A
8/10/2021Nick WelshH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision A
8/5/2021Dave RimmerA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision A
7/29/2021Steven GardnerH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision A
7/27/2021Ray HartleyA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision A
7/22/2021Gordon CapperH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision A
7/15/2021Hanna LusseyA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision A
7/13/2021David GoreH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision A
7/6/2021Kevin VenablesH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision A
6/29/2021Mark SmithH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision A
6/24/2021Ray EvansA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision A
6/22/2021Phil RichardsA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision A
6/17/2021Paul OllerheadH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision A
6/15/2021Eddie CharltonA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision A
6/10/2021Dougie EvansH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision A
6/8/2021John KayllH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision A
6/3/2021Mike SmethurstA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision A
5/27/2021Calvin GratixA21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision A
Leverhulme Cup8 games · 6W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundChris DunbarPt Sunlight Vill & Wks21-11WINWON
Round of 16 RoundKevin ExellPensby21-19WINLOST
20253 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundTerry ScottThingwall B21-12WINWON
Round of 16 RoundMark HadfieldHeswall Rbl14-21LOSSWON
Quarters RoundRob OllerheadGladstone B19-21LOSSLOST
20243 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundFrank HoeyBromborough Social Club21-9WINWON
Quarters RoundMick HindsThingwall21-20WINWON
Semi Final RoundPaul CottamLever Club21-13WINLOST
Andy Dawson Cup3 games · 3W
20243 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundSue TilstonThingwall B21-19WINWON
Semi Final RoundJean ClarkPensby B21-18WINWON
Final RoundJaxon McelnayAlbany21-15WINLOST

Current Streak

2wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

7

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

7

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWLWW
Last 1050% win rate↑ improving
WWLWWLWLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Phil Critchley21366.7%7/30/2026
Kevin Walsh202100%8/6/2026
John Smith202100%7/21/2026
Geoff Dewhurst0220%7/16/2026
David Gore11250%7/24/2025
George Mcaleny202100%8/8/2024
Jaxon Mcelnay0220%6/4/2024
Nick Welsh11250%8/24/2023
Nicola Eccles0110%7/28/2026
Thomas Collier101100%7/23/2026
Biggest Win
Alison Baba (+16)5/28/2024
Heaviest Defeat
John Finch * (-19)5/14/2026
Best Season
202462% · 13 matches
Worst Season
202535% · 17 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
45% → 44%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
96670 known · 11 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
7-2125% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
25-1760% win rate

By Division

Division A28-40 (41%)
Division B8-5 (62%)
Division A41.2%
28W·40L·68 played
Division B61.5%
8W·5L·13 played

Debut

May 27, 2021

Latest

Aug 6, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (5.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

16.2 (81 total)

Seasons

20212023202420252026